The Future of Movies

They are defeating the meaning of the screen.Charlie Chaplin, reacting to the development of “talkies”

Now here’s a challenge that comes along in a big way every few decades, whenever the nature of cinema appears poised to undergo some sort of seismic transformation:

Look into your crystal ball now and predict the future of motion pictures—we can’t really call it “film” anymore and have that be a legitimate term, can we?—even if that seems like a daunting task. After all, it would be tough to make a less accurate prediction than (the great) Chaplin made about how sound would defeat, rather than enhance, the storytelling power of the movies.

I have a few ideas of my own about how cinema will change. None of them involve 3-D.

Customization, Commerce, and the Rushmore Royalty

If Apocalypse Now director Francis Ford Coppola has his way, his new horror movie Twixt will be seen differently by different audiences—because Coppola has apparently engineered some process by which he (and perhaps others later, in his place) will “DJ”—that’s dee-jay—the experience of watching the film by changing up scenes and live musical accompaniment on-the-fly.

That’s taking the Clue gimmick of alternate endings to a new high (or low, depending on how you look at it, as Spalding Gray might have put it) in the age of digital presentation, and it bears more than a casual resemblance to the sort of gee-whiz showmanship of the William Castle variety.

Coppola’s experiment has been called a new form of “interactive cinema,” and that’s true to the extent that a director (director/programmer?) would have his or her own fingers on the button of their film, exerting control and influence that would all but negate the term “final cut.” However, a continuing relationship with a now not-finished film, after what may have been frustrating years of development, exhausting pre- and post-production, while a clever and fun idea, may not be something many directors other than Coppola would be all too eager to embrace.

Interactivity will have a greater place in the movies, though. I predict it will take shape instead by affording the audience/buyer a greater degree of control over existing films, and later, custom-built cinema. These experiences won’t replace traditional movies, but some of them will hew closer to the practice of gaming…and some of them will incite hot controversy.

We’ll see the day when a filmmaker releases all the raw footage from a film project and invites audiences to assemble it themselves, using software far simpler to manage than Final Cut Pro (something approaching the simplicity of iMovie, I guess, though I’ve never had the pleasure of trying that out). Projects for this purpose would naturally be made with this end in mind, with actors being directed to offer strongly different interpretations in different takes. Years ago, I thought Stanley Kubrick might have been the one to do this (mainly because the sheer volume of his footage would have made one hell of a box set), but his extreme desire for total control probably should have persuaded me to pick a different auteur.

Francis, whattaya think?

The SIMS-ation of cinema is something I can picture developing over time. Sure, it might be sacrilege, but someone, somewhere, is going to develop the technology to successfully erase Bogie from Casablanca and insert, say, Russell Crowe, or Kate Winslet in the place of Ilsa. Or both. It’ll be a different blasphemy than a standard remake, but a blasphemy all the same, to some. (This would make my mention of Tom Cruise "giving the Errol Flynn performance" in The Adventures of Robin Hood possible) There may well be actors, however, who will be just fine with cashing a check or two by taking a theme-parkish, Dead Men Don't Wear Plaid-style ride through Curtiz’ classic (and others) for the thrill of delivering their performance opposite Ingrid Bergman’s, as if they were really there.

   

(Does this sound like it’s violating the basic nature of acting? Many thought the same thing about movies when they were first invented. And no doubt many actors feel compromised by green-screen. Or acting opposite a man in a jumpsuit plastered with mo-cap beads. There will need to be a text to supplement Stanislavsky’s An Actor Prepares. Maybe call it An Actor Evolves.)

For that matter, we can just capture the basic three-dimensional information of a contemporary performer’s appearance, head-to-toe, along with a deep database of vocal and expressive “choices” catalogued from their previous works, and use that information to plug them into the old classics. There was quite a rumor for awhile that George Lucas was buying up the “rights” to the images of deceased actors, with intentions of forging “new” performances from dearly departed stars. Think it can’t happen? You’ve seen the Fred Astaire Dirt Devil commercial, haven’t you?

The technology could not only be used to reinvent new and existing movies endlessly (and thus provide an ever-constant revenue stream for each reinvention), but take something of a Being John Malkovich shape in Second Life-style games players could cast with their favorite stars. Actors hesitant to license their image for these purposes might change their minds if it were to represent a decent royalty every time they got downloaded into a game.

As for commerce in general, I suspect it won’t be too long before “product placement” becomes far more streamlined, at least for home viewers. Each and every product worn or used, each location, every piece of music, you name it, down to production elements like stock footage, title fonts, FX work, could eventually be catalogued/tagged so that a viewer could call up a drop-down menu that will offer links for learning about or purchasing when the item in question is selected.

Lastly, I have something that’s a little out-of-the-box, not so much a prediction but something I pitch as a sure thing: call it The Rushmore Royalty.

 
 

Remember the movie Rushmore, and the scenes depicting hero Max Fischer’s staging of plays based on Serpico and Apocalypse Now (or was it more like Platoon...I suppose "Heaven and Hell" was a hybrid of both, and then some)? With Coppola’s dream of “democratizing cinema” becoming more true every day, why not follow Broadway’s lead and begin to institute a system of licensing rights for amateur productions, similar to the way in which high school and community theaters are able to mount endless productions of The King and I and Godspell?

Just go ahead and make it affordable—not to mention legal—for amateur filmmakers to shoot and exhibit their own Spider-Man epic, or their own Freddy Krueger film. Create a tiered system of royalties to reflect the profit meant to be generated over time. Make "fan fiction" a legitimate and moneymaking enterprise. Much like the choice of paying for either the piano or full orchestral score, studios could offer prices based on whatever elements the amateur producer wanted to procure: script, music, FX, etc.

Maybe there will be bigger and bigger screens. Shooting at 48 or 60 frames-per-second rather than 24? Glasses-free 3D? No more film cameras and no more celluloid? That’s all well and good, but the changes in movies I’m really looking forward to are the ones coming we don’t quite expect, being made possible by the technology being developed right now that will be put to use in unexpected ways.

The future of movies is hurtling forward like a runaway train. I can’t wait to see it.

 
Click Here to get MovieFanFare delivered to your inbox!

Share It!

Leave a Reply

  • Blair Kramer.

    It's a very interesting article, but there is a huge problem where trying to predict the future is concerned. No matter what the subject or issue may be (in this case, it's motion pictues), and, for that matter, whomever is trying to make the prediction, you may be quite sure that the prediction will ultimately prove to be wrong. At the very least, that's usually the way it eventually turns out.

  • http://www.moviesunlimited.com George D. Allen

    That's a very interesting comment, but wouldn't what you just wrote ("You may be quite sure..." etc. from that point on) also qualify as a prediction about the future? And as such, equally likely by the standard you just set to be proven wrong?

  • Blair Kramer.

    I'm sorry if I come across as somewhat confrontational, George. I assure you that I truly don't wish to be. I just meant that, when smart people try to make serious predictions about the future, they usually prove to be wrong (actually, almost always wrong). Anyway, I wholeheartedly agree with you on one major point. I don't believe 3D will last. That's because it does little to contribute to the story of any film. And after all, as we all know, before you can make a movie you must first write a story. Anyway... I think your suggestion about interactivity has already come to pass. They're called "video games." As for the future of motion pictures, I honestly don't believe anything will change. Much like a novel or fairy tale, movies have always been a matter of "tell me a story." When we, as individuals, have something to say, we tell our own story. However, we go to the movies so that someone else can tell US a story. Anyway, I think the future of movies is reflected in their past. And that past has been the inexorable march of technology. The tools for creating the visual elements of motion pictures will, as always, continue to improve. But I don't think film makers (writers, producers, directors) would tolerate the bald adulteration of their vision any more than you would want others to alter your best selling novel. Whether a film is good, bad, or otherwise, I think that's the way it will remain. As I say, we read novels, go to stage plays, and watch movies because we truly want someone else to tell us a story. THEIR story. And speaking for myself at least, I really wouldn't want it any other way.

  • J.Bradley

    Right. YOU won't, but a lot of other people may not. When you see that the profits of video games approach the level of the motion picture industry - AND you realize that it's a whole new generation that's consuming THAT product, THAT way, you have to realize it's the MARKET that will determine the future of cinema. It's the MARKET that's trending for more interactive media. Their MAY still be a certain sector of the audience that sticks with a more linear narrative type of entertainment but cinema has always been a MASS audience medium and if interactive is where that mass is going that's where it'll go. Just because we've had oral storytelling and plays for thousands of years doesn't mean we'll stick with that forever. Things CAN fundamentally change and we may well be on the verge of that.

    The real fundamental change depends on whether or not the ultimate linear narative experience of READING sticks around.

  • John

    I guess I am just an old fashioned kind of guy, if the future is push button A to see this conclusion - or wave a wand to see this conclusion then you can keep it. I want a film that is simple, has a beginning, a middle and a end, and if I am really lucky I might see an epilogue that pulls all the lose ends together. For me going to the movies is about enjoying myself in a environment of suspended disbelief.If I have to duck and dive every 3 minutes,(3D) then maybe I will just stay home, fire up the old VCR, oops, DVD - um Blu-Ray and pop affordable popcorn in the microwave, and crack a cold one (Coke or Pepsi sir) and stretch out on the couch and enjoy Marilyn in her skimpy get-up in Bus Stop and save some money and aggravation. I say to Hollywood, keep it simple for thou art a simple people.

  • Doug

    I see the day, maybe 30-40 years down the road (or sooner) when theaters will become obsolete and new movies will be directly uploaded from the internet in the comfort of your own home.

    No distributors to pay, no theater collecting a margin - it'll put more money in the pockets of film-makers and producers, and the price will be moderate. There will also be an option to buy and store the movie in your archives.

    Count on it. It's going to happen!

  • Jazz

    I watched many futuristic movies when I was young and always wondered why the characters of these movies reverted to older technology and had a penchant for older movies, styles, etc.

    Now I see those movies in a different light. We will revert to some of the visions of our media forefathers/mothers because the new generations lack imagination and creativity.

    Technology will go forward but as we continue to rely on it more and more we lose a little bit of ability to dream, imagine and lose a good part of our creativity. The new generations are losing the ability to differentiate fact from fiction or answer the question "Is is live or Memorex?" Children don't develop people skills so they don't learn how to interact and they don't have to develop an imagination because Wii and Xbox has done it for them.

    We are losing our great creative and imaginative minds so who will make the movies of the future and will they be worth watching?

  • http://www.moviesunlimited.com George D. Allen

    I'll stand by the prediction that movies are gonna evolve in some substantial ways. BK's disagreement sort of ignores the fact that movies have already done their fair share of evolving successfully, in spite of naysayers who often predicted those big changes would ruin/bankrupt/destroy the art as it existed then. Sound, color, widescreen, filming on HD video, etc.--all changes made to the production, consumption, and experience of the movies--there will be more to come.

    I like JB's market observations -- tho I would add that I don't think you have to worry about reading going anywhere. Books, on the other hand (as in, with actual paper pages and all that), I am actually starting to wonder about. But not too much. Yet.

    I take John's old-fashioned comment to heart about the desirability of a movie with, hey, one structure. I'm not a fan even now of the endless recutting of movies for home video release (which rarely are ever any better than the original cut. Yes, "Exoricst: Version You've Never Seen," I'm talking to you). Lawrence of Arabia, Blade Runner, and Lord of the Rings, maybe you're the exceptions.

    And Doug, I'm quite sure you're right about Internet library access on a much wider scale--but I'm not sure that's gonna mean the end of movie theaters. It might affect physical discs more (as it did music)--the big problem I have with that trend is my fuddy-duddy idea that, if I'm going to spend money, I want to own an actual THING, not a quantity of data held in a cloud. I think the current push by some industry execs trying to sell me on the "portability" of a movie over various small devices--pads, phones, whatever--as actually "owning" the movie is, frankly, bogus. They want to persuade people to pay money for ACCESS instead of PRODUCT, which I don't like at all. (And not just because of the business I work for, either)

    The videogame example I'd use to support my claim about interactivity. There was a time when film actors wouldn't think of going anywhere near a lowly "game," and now you have plenty of instances where the actors from the films are lending their voices to the game tie-ins. I think the future blurring together of these two experiences is likely to occur.

  • Tom K.

    (1) Many people I have spoken to have decided NOT to go beyond DVD or Blue Ray technology no matter what new medium comes next. Many are still holding LOTS of VHS tapes. (2) Hollywood must do better than producing "remakes" of older movies which in most cases cannot be improved upon. We want a better product. Keep your SIMS-ation and do not insert lower quality actors into classic movies; NOT an improvement.

  • Gary Vidmar

    Excellent points all, but I think the idea of serving the same piece of cake many different ways - as George points out in his original post - is definitely in the technological wave of the future. Artistically, I have no clue how cinema will evolve, and it will be slow, since marketing is so pervasive in the industry - cramping imagination, style and daring in the movies.

  • Joseph Imhoff

    The days of 'big screen', 'larger than life', and anamorphic lenses are now projected on a flat screen. Movie critics will have no place in this new world because they will not know which version of their critique was being viewed.

  • Fred Smith

    The industry wanting us to pay for ACCESS to films rather than PRODUCT is, unfortunately, not bogus. The wave is growing. My local Barnes & Noble just removed all CDs and DVDs from their store because sales were slumping so badly. The reason? More and more people are downloading their entertainment.
    My prediction for one future probabilty is that writers, painters, etc. will no longer be required to create commercially viable product. Millions of ideas and styles will be fed into computers which will then be able to create scenarios and even brush stroke styles(of say, a Van Gogh)thereby avoiding the need for contracts and remuneration, eliminating more avenues for human creativity. And an ever increasingly uneducated and detached populace will lap it all up. Until the next big thing comes along.

  • http://www.moviesunlimited.com George D. Allen

    I should clarify perhaps: When I say bogus, I don't mean to suggest it isn't happening in fits and starts, I mean that the sales pitch being pushed that access to data on portable devices represents increased "ownership" is, to my way of thinking, patently ridiculous. It's just a transparent attempt to eliminate the cost of manufacturing physical products and so increase profit.

    There's nothing wrong with profit, but please, don't try to snow me with this "owning" it silliness. I agree with you that this is what "they" want. When I say bogus I mean to say I do not like it, and I do not buy into the argument for it. In this, I recognize I may officially now be a fuddy-duddy because much younger folks don't care so much for actually possessing "things"--so we are told.

    There's quite a ways to go, however, before the downloading phenomenon poses a real threat to physical discs of movies/TV/etc. You need ALL of the following, a) massive catalog, b) uncomplicated, streamlined source, and c) sensible pricing, for that to really take hold.

    That's not Fantasy Island or anything, but nobody's even close right now.

    Hmmm, I dunno about your prediction about the automatically-created stuff, though. I think we'll have to be well past "The Singularity" before that becomes something other than pure sci-fi. That would be a situation, say, where we've conquered "the uncanny valley" problem to the Nth degree, and then some. So I would guess that moviemakers, actors, musicians, and such are safe from the total threat of being fully automated for some time. (Not that the MIDI keyboard hasn't successfully obviated the requirement of a full human orchestra now and then...

  • Publius

    I must agree with John's post. With more technology, the more the movie experience goes to bust. It may excite the younger generation, but, for the people who have grown up with outstanding performances from Bogie, laurel & Hardy and anyone alse you can mention; I wish we oculd stop right now and bring movies to a sreeching halt. Chaplin's comment was not unfounded. Although sound pictures restricted films, they also opened up new avenues of expression. Alfred Hitchcock always said that the silent cinema was the "purest cinema." Yet, now we have so many options that we don't even need, that it is becoming ludicrous. I, for one, love my VHS and DVD collection. These are the films I chose to see anytime I want to. I don't need a new technology like the computer to "download" anything. Of course, the manufacturers will make it indispensible becasue they'll make the old players obsolete so we'll be forced to change in the future. Remember what happened to Edison's disc and phonograph player? NOw you have to convert your whole listening library over to CD's, and if the record companies are not going to re-release something because THEY don't consider it profitable, that leaves the consumer with no options. Already, going to the movies is fast becoming an anachronism. What we need to do is restore the basics of going to a good film, and enjoying it, rather than trying to package it into oblivion.

  • LUIGI From NYC

    AND -- here is the latest tech-gimmick i recently read on a website --

    GET THIS = CLONING-ANIMATION = OF ACTORS !

    An actor would be cloned in Sight & Sound --
    Said CLONE would look EXACTLY like him/her self --

    The DIRECTOR can then DIRECT said actor as HE sees fit --

    Said actor would never have to report for work at the studio --

    All he/she would do is --- collect the $$$$$ !

    Of course -- this would require a great deal of Contractual-Agreements !

  • Blair Kramer.

    Ya know George, there may be ONE movie, just one, with a scenario that would be genuinely enhanced by 3D: Hitchcock's "Vertigo." As for every other comment offered so far, I continue to stand by everything I offered in my post.

  • http://www.moviesunlimited.com George D. Allen

    Publius--I'd say it's really just a choice: If a person doesn't go to new movies, or collect new movies, or care at all about new movies, then for that person, movies do come to a screeching halt. That's kind of a shame as far as I'm concerned, because the discriminating movie lover can still find many great flicks being made today if they care enough to look.

    Not sure what you mean when you say Chaplin's comment was not unfounded. And when you say sound "restricted" films, I take it you mean in that "Singin' in the Rain" way, when in the early sound days, camera movement became severely limited to accommodate the primitive and bulky sound recording technology? Well, we got over that.

    VHS, though...really? I can understand nostalgia. I remember the days when video got started when I thought "If I could just own the BOX....that would be AWESOME!"...but when you look at how the film image was literally butchered by the quality of tape in those days, it shocks to think it ever satisfied in the least. (I can only imagine how many great filmmakers cringed when they got a look at how the VHS release presented their carefully crafted images)

    I also don't get technology "busting" the moviegoing experience. Unless you are talking about jerks with their cell phones. To me, the thing that busts the experience is an over-intrusion of TV-esque adverts...and then, there's that HORRIFYING concept of having waiters deliver food service as the movie plays. I could do an entire piece about that profoundly wrongheaded idea. I experienced it once. Never. Ever. Again.

  • Gord Jackson

    As a now retired motion picture theatre manager, I can well remember all of the baleful predictions about the end-of-the-road for ye olde moviehouse. It didn't happen then and I doubt it will in the future simply because of our genetic makeup. We are social creatures and going to the movies, like going to sporting events, street festivals, plays, concerts, symphonies, the local diner or coffee shop etc. is what we do. Also, we are very much in an "I want it and I want now" age meaning that as long as theatres can provide the screen size, projection and wall-to-wall sound, that corporate experience (most especially loved by younger genertions) will always have cache. Besides, microwaved popcorn just doesn't cut it for popcorn lovers altho I could never personally stand the stuff. The sound of the popping, the aroma, the end product liberally soaked in Grade A butter - for true film and popcorn lovers, digging into it in a darkened room filled with other like-minded souls is probably in the DNA. Indeed, back in the day I can well remember a few of the more snobbish types who ran 'art' theatres bravely talking about how they would never have that 'vulgar' stuff in their cinemas. Yeah. Right. Not until the cranky legions were lining up in droves at the managers door to voice their profound displeasure - in NO uncertain terms.

    Yes, theatres and presentations in those theatres will evolve. They have in the past and will continue to in the future. But go the way of hoopskirts and the buckboard? I'd be very surprised.

  • Frank D.

    Give me the old-fashioned films. There was usually an abundance of talent. From the script to the directing to the acting and everything in between, talent presented itself. The newest technological gimmick is not talent. Big difference.

    Of course, since most audiences expect a bang or a scream every few seconds and have the attention span of a baked potato anything is possible.

  • Blair Kramer.

    So George, since you didn't address the subject, please allow me to ask you: Do you think the scenario for "Vertigo," as directed by Hitchcock, would have been enhanced by 3D? As I already said, I do believe that "Vertigo" is the one and only film for which 3D would be appropriate. Please tell us your view on this.

    • http://www.moviesunlimited.com George D. Allen

      I'd say if you're gonna deface one Hitchcock movie with 3D, why not all of them? Hitch had a terrific 2D sense of space that no doubt could be exploited in the same way with just about any of his movies--the "distances" of "Rear Window" come to mind, not to mention the knife coming right at "us" in "Psycho." The "vertigo shot" in "Vertigo" is I suppose the showiest, 3-D-ish thing in the 2-D Hitchcock catalog, I guess, but I wouldn't necessarily pick that one above any of the others in terms of the process working for or against it. I'd be on the record as wanting to leave his movies (and everyone else's movies, for that matter) just as they are, whilst at the same time I'm not unduly offended by people tinkering around with even classic movies so long as the original is always available. I do think it's a deep philosophical mistake for people to take the "rose-colored glasses" approach to the movies of the long-ago past w/respect to the way things are now with remakes, director's cuts, etc. Movies have always, always had trouble remaining in a "fixed" form, be it because of state-by-state censorship of films in the Hays era (when the movie you saw in New York wouldn't be at all the same movie you saw in Kansas), "family-friendly," commercially-interrupted broadcasts on network television, or the grossly cropped images of widescreen films on VHS.

  • Blair Kramer.

    I guess I didn't express myself properly. I would never suggest, nor would I support, altering any existing film. This certainly includes "Vertigo." I was simply wondering how the story for the film "Vertigo" might have been enhanced if Hitchcock had ORIGINALLY made and released it in 3D (which was certainly possible at the time of its release. 3D films had already been around for several years before "Vertigo" came out). Bottom line: "Vertigo" is a brilliant Hitchcock film. It doesn't need to be changed. Nor should it be changed. I love it just as it is. I was just wondering if its story might have been somehow enhanced if Hitchcock had chosen to make and release it in 3D, that's all.

  • masterofoneinchpunch

    Don't forget you two that Hitchock did make one 3D film: Dial M for Murder (which I believe he did with a polarizing technique) which has occasionally been shown in the theater (never where I am though). So you do not have to deface that film :D .

    An interesting post might be film cuts that were made worse by the director (or better by a producer). For example I read an article recently that discussed why the individual thought the theaterical Cinema Paradiso was better than the director's cut. Is Das Boot better as the series or the theaterical cut? Same goes with Fanny and Alexander.

    It will be interesting to see how the future goes though. I don't see movies going away any time soon :D .

  • http://www.moviesunlimited.com George D. Allen

    Ha, well-mentioned MOIIP. Hitch was not a fan of the whole 3D setup (at least according to the Spoto book as I recall) because the equipment was so bulky he didn't have the usual freedom he liked to have with it. I actually just listened to "Rope" this afternoon (working while wearing headphones to listen to dialogue) & that might have made a fun 3D movie in a much more subtle way. Not that the movie isn't perfect as is.

    Maybe another tantalizing column (spinning off your idea about the director's cuts) might be "Movies Made Better by the Hays Code." As repulsive as that is in principle. I have a good book about the Hays era somewhere that details some of the cuts made, say, to "Bride of Frankenstein," that actually sound like the film would've been not as solid had some of the "objectionable" material been "allowed" to remain.

    Or would there just then follow a lot of cranky chatter about how movies today could use a little censorship because they're so dirty, violent...etc etc etc....

  • Pingback: The Human Centipede II and Three Movies to Watch Instead | MovieFanFare

Read More Posts From…