Argo vs. Lincoln vs. Silver Linings Playbook: Final Oscar Predictions!

Emerging from screening a certain movie which shall remain nameless, way back before end-of-year lists made the rounds and the Ocsar nominations were announced, I made an instantaneous prediction about that particular film’s Academy Awards chances on February 24th, and I put it in writing.

(No, I’m not talking about my prediction about Daniel Day-Lewis winning for Lincoln. That prediction I made out loud and often as soon as I read he had been cast in the film. Just as many others did.)

Anyway, there was much skepticism in the air from my inner circle concerning my soothsaying for this particular movie…but numerous well-regarded, pre-Oscar signs later, it seems I may indeed be about to be proven correct. You’ll notice I’m keeping that prediction close to the vest here (naturally, so as not to avoid embarrassment on that tiny, tiny, now-miniscule chance I’m wrong)–but we’re giving Movie Irv no such shelter! Here he is to make his final prognostications:

Oh, sugar. I just noticed that I had already shared my big, big Best Picture prediction (that I was then busily being talked out of) on my Top 10 Movies of 2012 post. So it goes. So now, Irv and I have both put it all on the table. Your turn now! Who’s going to win?

  • Blair Kramer

    Just like last year, I won’t be watching the Oscars on TV. I have something much more important to do that night. I plan to contemplate my navel!

    • Doug

      well, I just love movies too much to miss the oscars!

  • jvm

    i’ve been thinking lately that spielberg has “jumped the shark.”

    • Blair Kramer

      Do you get the impression that “Lincoln” comes across as a filmed stage play? It features very little story telling on a purely visual level. And visual story telling (action and excitement) is Spielberg’s trademark.


    my hopes are-picture=Les miserable

    actor===hugh jakman=Les Mis

    actress=Jennifer Lawrence=Silver Linings Playbook

    supp,actress==Anne hathaway=Les Mis

    supp actor=Christoph Waltz=Django Unchained
    director=Russell=Silver Linings Playbook
    who they will gie it to


    actor Day-Lewis=Lincoln

    actress=Lawrence=Silver Linings

    supp actress=Anne Hathaway=Les Mis(I hope she wins)

    supp actor=Jones=Lincoln
    director=Spielberg Lincoln

  • Doug

    Hmmm, I think…

    Lincoln/Best Picture
    Hugh Jackman/Best Actor/Les Miserables
    Jennifer Lawrence/Best Acrtress/Silver Lining
    Ben Affleck/Best Director/Argo
    Ben Affleck/Best Screenplay/Argo